Words from The Res
After some travel, we are back and home base to refine our plays. Oct 23-30 was not one of our best weeks as we gave back a few units. Starting November we will be looking to be more aggressive with our plays, as we get a feel for the stats the the teams are putting up in the NHL. We didn’t post a play in NHL until November 2 (mostly due to travel).
Category 1 – Back-to-Back Advantages (2-3, -1.33 units)
Category 2 – Away Favourites (6-4, +0.79 units)
Category 3 – Long Breaks (2-0, +1.02 units)
Category 4 – Over/Under Triggers
Category 5 – Special Teams Differentials (PP vs PK) (0-1, -1.00 unit)
Category 6 – Other (one off non-system related), (3-4, -1.53 units)
Long Road Trips (5 or more)
NAS 3 games into a 5 game road trip
Long Home Stands (5 or more)
TOR starting a 5 game home stand
Edmonton ML -145 (Miss)
Comments – We looked for the visiting Dallas Stars to run out of gas playing 3 in 4 nights, as the Oilers should be looking to rebound, but they fell flat. Was weary about this one which was why it was just a 0.5 unit play on Twitter
Nov 4 – BIG SLATE SATURDAY
Toronto Regulation (Category 1) (Miss)
Columbus ML (Category 5) (Miss)
LA Kings ML (Category 2) (HIT)
Colorado ML (Category 2) (Miss)
Comments – Category 2 plays where we take Away Favourites show Colorado Avalanche to strive in this situation. They dropped their previous play in this system to the Buffalo Sabres on Oct 29.
Nov 5 – PRESSURE PLAY
New Jersey Regulation and ML (Category 2) (Both Hit)
We posted this one on twitter as 2 separate bets totaling 1.5 units. The thought here was to increase the chance of a payout using ML but also gain some advantage in a regulation win if it occurs due to the odds. Lots of burns this season from going straight regulation on the full wager. Blackhawks have somehow shown a lot of fire this early season.
2023-24 NHL Season Record, 16-15, -3.06 units